Rating Action Commentary
ֳ Takes Rating Actions on TDA 29
Tue 31 Jul, 2012 - 9:20 AM ET
ֳ-London/Madrid-31 July 2012: ֳ has taken rating actions on TDA 29, Fondo de Titulizacion de Activos (TDA 29) as follows:
Class A1 (ISIN ES0377931003): 'AA-sf'; maintained on RWN
Class A2 (ISIN ES0377931011): downgraded to 'BBBsf' from 'AA-sf' Outlook Negative
Class B (ISIN ES0377931029): downgraded to 'Bsf' from 'BBBsf', Outlook Negative
Class C (ISIN ES0377931037): affirmed at 'CCCsf'; Recovery Estimate of 10%
Class D (ISIN ES0377931045): affirmed at 'CCsf'; Recovery Estimate of 0%
The downgrades reflect ֳ's concern with the overall credit worsening of the underlying portfolio of residential mortgage loans, in particular a recent rise in arrears and the low level of recoveries evidenced to date.
TDA 29 is a securitisation of residential mortgage loans originated by Banca March (unrated by ֳ) and Banco Guipuzanco (now Banco Sabadell, 'BBB'/RWN/'F3').
In ֳ's view, the worsening macroeconomic environment is having an impact on borrower affordability in TDA 29. As of April 2012, the level of borrowers in arrears by more than three months as a percentage of collateral balance had risen to 1.75% compared to 1.19% in April 2011. The frequency of defaults, defined as loans in arrears by more than 12 months, has also risen during the year. As of April 2012, cumulative gross defaults were at 2% of initial balance with 41% of these defaults occurring within the past 12 months.
The management company, Titulizacion de Activos, provided ֳ with information on Banco Guipuzcano-originated loans that have defaulted. The information suggests on average a 65% recovery rate on defaulted loans, after repossession and subsequent sale of the property backing the loan. As a result, the agency capped the recovery rate assumption at 65% on Banco Guipuzcano's portion of the pool in its base case stress environment.
Additionally, ֳ has assumed a more conservative recovery assumption on defaulted Banca March loans, by increasing its standard market value decline assumptions by 10%. This is supported by historical data on foreclosures from the bank.
The excess spread generated in the deal has been insufficient to clear period default provisioning requirements. This has led to repeated reserve fund draws, and in April 2012 it stood at 35% of its target amount. With the current pipeline of potential defaults now higher than 2011 and recoveries as low as 65%, ֳ expects further reserve fund draws to occur, further diminishing credit enhancement available to the notes. This was a driver of the downgrades of the class A2 and class B notes.
The agency has not downgraded the class A1 notes as it expects these notes to be paid in full at the next quarterly payment date. The notes have been maintained on RWN as the account banks, Banco Santander and Banco Espanol de Credito S.A. (both rated 'BBB+'/'F2') are no longer eligible to support the current rating under ֳ's structured finance counterparty criteria, without implementing appropriate remedial actions. The agency has been informed of the management company's intentions to put in place appropriate remedies, which are expected to be fully implemented in the upcoming days. The agency will continue to monitor the progress and may take rating actions accordingly (see "ֳ places 212 Spanish SF Tranches on RWN" dated 16 July 2012 at ).
Contact:
Lead Surveillance Analyst
Ibrahim Kamara
Analyst
+44 20 3530 1553
ֳ Limited
30 North Colonnade
London E14 5GN
Secondary Analyst
Sanja Paic
Director
+44 20 3530 1282
Committee Chairperson
Juan David Garcia
Senior Director
+34 917 025 774
Media Relations: Mark Morley, London, Tel: +44 0203 530 1526, Email: mark.morley@fitchratings.com; Sandro Scenga, New York, Tel: +1 212-908-0278, Email: sandro.scenga@fitchratings.com.
Additional information is available on . The ratings above were solicited by, or on behalf of, the issuer, and therefore, ֳ has been compensated for the provision of the ratings.
Sources of information- in addition to those mentioned in the applicable criteria, the sources of information used to assess these ratings were Investor Reports and recovery data provided by Titulizacion de Activos S.G.F.T., S.A.
Applicable criteria, 'Global Structured Finance Rating Criteria' dated 04 August 2011' EMEA Residential Mortgage Loss Criteria' dated 7 June 2012, 'EMEA Residential Mortgage Loss Criteria Addendum - Spain' dated 24 July 2012 'Counterparty Criteria for Structured Finance Transactions' and 'Counterparty Criteria for Structured Finance transactions: Derivative Addendum', dated 30 May 2012 are available at .
Applicable Criteria and Related Research:
PARTICIPATION STATUS
The rated entity (and/or its agents) or, in the case of structured finance, one or more of the transaction parties participated in the rating process except that the following issuer(s), if any, did not participate in the rating process, or provide additional information, beyond the issuer’s available public disclosure.